This update compares the cycle turn dates of late October 2015 in corn, soybeans and wheat. All three markets had cycles turning on the second half of October. Corn and wheat seem to have bottomed, but soybeans is hesitating to rally at the moment.
Friday, October 30, 2015
Thursday, October 8, 2015
Update: Soybeans - October 2015
This short update takes a look at the cash
soybean major bear markets and compares them to the current bear market from
2012.
Friday, October 2, 2015
Soybeans - October 2015
This post is our October 2015 soybean market roadmap. It includes Gann's 20yrs cycle harmonic which turned in late September as well as Gann's 14yrs cycle harmonic due to turn in late October.
Tuesday, September 29, 2015
Update 2: Soybeans - September 2015
The soybean market has remained in a sideways motion since last August. Every attempt to definitely break above or below its resistance/support levels has been followed by a counter-trend motion.
Our 2015 soybeans roadmap discussed the possibility that the Gann's 20yrs cycle harmonic turning in late September could align with a market top. However, the current market behavior leads us to believe that perhaps it has aligned with a market bottom.
The current post discusses this possibility and a potential scenario for the upcoming months.
Thursday, September 10, 2015
Update: Soybeans - September 2015
This is a short update on our September 2015 soybeans roadmap and current market behavior.
Thursday, September 3, 2015
Soybeans - September 2015
This is our September 2015 soybean market roadmap. It includes a Gann's 20yrs cycle harmonic due to turn in late September. Our understanding of the market leads us to believe this cycle could align with a market top.
Tuesday, August 11, 2015
Update: Soybeans - August 2015
November soybeans made a swing bottom on August 03, 2015. Since then the market has rallied and broke the previous 2-day swing top at 957¢. Following we present a short update including a simple price projection for a possible reaction.
Labels:
2015,
analysis,
august,
cowan,
futures,
gann,
grain,
market,
november,
projections,
rally,
ricardo da costa,
soybean,
swings,
trading,
update
Tuesday, August 4, 2015
Soybeans - August 2015
In this post we present our August 2015 analysis for the soybean market based on seasonality.
Thursday, July 30, 2015
Update 3: Soybeans - July 2015
This is our third and last update for the soybean market in the month of July. We are including new Velocity Price Projections which indicate the possibility that soybean prices could decline even further.
Friday, July 24, 2015
Update 2: Soybeans - July 2015
This is a short update on the soybean market based on velocity price projections and momentum analysis.
Wednesday, July 15, 2015
Update: Soybeans - July 2015
This post is an update for our July 2015 soybean report. The market rallied since May-June 2015 into a possible top in July. This update includes a cycle and geometry analysis together with the velocity price projections and momentum curves.
Wednesday, July 1, 2015
Soybeans - July 2015
As has been our custom in the last few months we are presenting a short roadmap for the month of July 2015 for the soybean market.
There is a harmonic of Gann's 20yrs cycle due to turn in early July as presented in our 2015 soybean roadmap. According to seasonal tendency, extreme high prices are typically expected in the month of July. These are the reasons why we anticipated a cycle top for the current month in the second part of our 2015 soybean roadmap.
Monday, June 1, 2015
Soybeans - June 2015
This post contains the monthly roadmap for the month of June 2015. It presents a couple of cycles due to turn in the current month. Also, the post briefly discusses the seasonal behavior of the soybean market in relation to the current cycles turn dates.
Labels:
2015,
analysis,
cowan,
cycles,
forecast,
futures,
gann,
geometry,
grain,
july,
market,
ptv,
ricardo da costa,
roadmap,
soybean,
square of twelve,
trading
Monday, May 25, 2015
Update 3: Soybeans - May 2015
The May and July contracts for soybeans futures broke the October 2014 bottom. This is in line with our initial thought that prices will continue to decline during this year, hopefully until a Oct-Nov 2015 bottom.
Our May roadmap presented three cycle turn dates for the month. Gann's 14yrs cycle harmonic for early May which aligned with a market top. Also Gann's 20yrs cycle harmonic for May/15-25 and Gann's 30yrs cycle harmonic for late May, early June.
This post addresses the current Gann's 20yrs cycle harmonic together with geometry and momentum calculations.
Our May roadmap presented three cycle turn dates for the month. Gann's 14yrs cycle harmonic for early May which aligned with a market top. Also Gann's 20yrs cycle harmonic for May/15-25 and Gann's 30yrs cycle harmonic for late May, early June.
This post addresses the current Gann's 20yrs cycle harmonic together with geometry and momentum calculations.
Labels:
2015,
analysis,
cowan,
cycles,
futures,
gann,
geometry,
grain,
market,
market velocity,
momentum,
ptv,
rally,
ricardo da costa,
soybean,
square of twelve,
square root of two,
trading,
update
Tuesday, May 19, 2015
Update 2: Soybeans - May 2015
This post continues our month of May updates for soybeans. We address the alignment of the early May cycle turn date with a market high.
Monday, May 4, 2015
Update: Soybeans - May 2015
Following a short update on the current soybeans market situation. This post presents a couple of Velocity Price Projections and a 2-day swing chart.
Monday, April 27, 2015
Soybeans - May 2015
Just as we present our yearly roadmaps (2014, 2015 I & II), we thought it would be useful to have a "monthly roadmap" in which we would present major and minor cycles turn dates, geometry analysis and when possible, an actual roadmap of the monthly market behavior.
This post presents the three most important cycle turn dates for the month of May 2015 in the soybean market. It also presents a short geometry analysis and discusses the possible behavior of the market during this month.
Tuesday, April 14, 2015
April 2015, Rally? - May Soybeans
Soybeans made tops on November 2014. Since then, trading has been slow. These November 2014 tops aligned with several important Gann cycles and have not been broken up to this moment. The general trend has been down, with only small rallies.
According to our 2015 soybean roadmap it is possible we may see a top in mid-year. This post addresses the possibility of a rally leading up to that top based on cycle, geometry and momentum analysis.
Monday, March 23, 2015
Quick Update on May Soybeans
Soybeans topped on early March and declined almost 90¢ as indicated in our last post. We are presenting now a quick update on the Soybean market. A momentum calculation is included indicating the possibility of a rally.
Labels:
2015,
analysis,
bottom,
futures,
grain,
market,
may,
momentum,
rally,
ricardo da costa,
soybean,
trading,
update
Monday, March 2, 2015
Velocity Price Projections for May Soybeans
In this post, we present several price projections using market velocity for soybean May futures. Additionally a small harmonic of Gann's 84 years cycle is presented which is due to turn in early March 2015.
Subscribe to:
Comments (Atom)