Soybean Market Cycle Analysis and Roadmap for 2017

 Using Gann's and Brad Cowan's cycle theory we analyzed the soybean market for the year 2017. Significant cycles are expected to turn during this year. The turn dates for these cycles are presented in this post together with a roadmap showing the possible market action during the year.

Update: Soybeans - January 2016

 As mentioned in our previous post, this update for the month of January focuses on Gann's 30yrs cycle. 

 There is a small harmonic of this cycle turning in late January-early February. However, a larger harmonic of this same cycle, which is slightly time-shifted, is due to turn between early to late February. The period of this larger harmonic averages 7.5 years and it has aligned with very significant turning points since 1986.

Soybeans - January 2016

This is our January 2016 roadmap analysis for soybean market. It presents a couple of Gann's cycle harmonics together with a simple PTV[1] analysis. Additionally, Velocity Price Projections and Momentum analysis are included.

Soybeans - November 2015

 This is our November 2015 roadmap for soybeans. It includes Gann's 45yrs cycle due to turn in the second half of the month as well as expansion/contraction sequences found in January futures contract.

Update 2: Soybeans - October 2015

 This update compares the cycle turn dates of late October 2015 in corn, soybeans and wheat. All three markets had cycles turning on the second half of October. Corn and wheat seem to have bottomed, but soybeans is hesitating to rally at the moment.

Soybeans Trendless Market (Nov-2014 Jan-2015)

 After the much anticipated November-2014 cycles the soybean market has remained in a sideways motion unlike the corn and wheat market which have shown gains after the October and November cycles.

 Since late October thru all of November and December the soybean market has been trading in a range. March soybeans futures made a higher top on November 12th at 1089 3/4¢ and a lower bottom on December 3rd at 991¢. The market has been unable to break above-below this prices, showing no definite trend.

Update: November 2014 - January Beans

 Soybeans have been sideways since early November 2014. Nevertheless the market is in an interesting period. Our cycle analysis indicated three major cycles turning in November. These were Gann's 45yrs, 20yrs and 14yrs cycle.

 This post discusses the current situation in the soybean market focusing in cycles, swings and momentum indicator. So far it is not clear for us if these cycles have aligned with market tops or bottoms.

November 2014 - January Beans

 In our 2014 soybean roadmap we mentioned November 2014 as an important month regarding cycles. Three major cycles are due to turn during this month, namely Gann's 45 years, 20 years and 14 years cycle harmonics.

 The present post updates some of these cycles and discusses the possible behavior of soybeans for the recent future.

Update 3: Soybeans 2014 Fall Seasonal Low

 Soybeans rallied since early October 2014. On October 30th, January contract made a 2-day swing top and reacted. Our stop was touched on November 04th at 1008 1/4¢. As mentioned in past posts, there are several cycles turning in November 2014.

 This writing updates the stop loss calculation and when it was touched. Also gives a few windows of tolerance for Gann's 45yrs, 20yrs and 14yrs cycle harmonics turning in November 2014.
 

Update: January 2014 Soybean Market Outlook

A soybean market cycle analysis and roadmap for 2014 was presented here. It was mentioned the possibility that the Nov 5th 2013 bottom was the beginning of an important bull market. Additionally, it was discussed that both Gann’s 20 and 14 years cycle harmonics had turning point dates for January 2014. An update on these cycles is presented together with an analysis explaining the possibility that the market bottomed on Friday Jan 24th.