As expected, soybeans topped in July. This is in line with our initial roadmap. There's a Gann's 14yrs cycle turning in September. This cycle could align with a secondary top leading into the October bottom.
Showing posts with label cash. Show all posts
Showing posts with label cash. Show all posts
Thursday, September 7, 2017
Tuesday, January 3, 2017
Soybean Market Cycle Analysis and Roadmap for 2017
Using Gann's and Brad Cowan's cycle theory we analyzed the soybean market for the year 2017. Significant cycles are expected to turn during this year. The turn dates for these cycles are presented in this post together with a roadmap showing the possible market action during the year.
Labels:
2017,
analysis,
bottom,
cash,
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cycles,
forecast,
gann,
grain,
january,
july,
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ricardo da costa,
roadmap,
soybean,
top,
trading
Friday, October 28, 2016
Update: Soybeans - October 2016
This post updates the chart presented in our October 2016 post for soybeans after the October bottom. It also contains a chart showing major PTVs[1] in the cash soybean market.
Wednesday, October 5, 2016
Soybeans - October 2016
This is our post for the month of October on soybeans. Both Gann's 14yrs and 30yrs cycle harmonics are due to turn between very late September and early October. There are a couple of PTVs[1] which have completed in the cash market as well.
Labels:
2016,
analysis,
bottom,
cash,
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cycles,
gann,
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grain,
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november,
ptv,
rally,
ricardo da costa,
soybean,
square of twelve
Friday, September 2, 2016
Soybeans and grain update
We apologize for the lack of updates in the blog in the last month. There hasn't been too much time for market analyses and blog posting.
Gann's 84yrs cycle was due to turn in August 2016, at least initially. This cycle is expected to be a significant bottom from were prices should increase, perhaps for several years.
Our projections on grains haven't been so accurate in the recent past. In this blog we present an update on the soybean market, Gann's 84yrs cycle and a commentary on wheat and corn.
Thursday, July 14, 2016
Update: Wheat - July 2016
This is a quick update on the wheat post we published a couple of days ago. With updated data for cash wheat, this post shows how some PTVs completed on the early July 2016 bottom.
Tuesday, July 12, 2016
Wheat - July 2016
Just as with soybeans and corn, Gann's 84yrs cycle is due to turn during 2016 for the wheat market. This cycle is expected as a cycle bottom. In the case of wheat, the turning of this cycle may come a bit earlier than in other markets.
This post discusses two cycles impacting prices for late June - early July 2016 in the wheat market as well as some PTV[1] analyses.
Labels:
2016,
analysis,
bottom,
cash,
cowan,
cycles,
december,
futures,
gann,
geometry,
grain,
july,
market,
ptv,
ricardo da costa,
square of twelve,
wheat
Wednesday, June 1, 2016
Soybeans - June 2016
The month of May was a disappointment. Except for the big up day on May 10, most of the month remained in a sideways motion.
As presented in our 2016 soybean roadmap, there is a cycle due to turn in the first part of the month of June. According to seasonal behavior, after a March bottom prices will most likely rally up until June or July, aligning with the typical seasonal top months.
Labels:
2016,
analysis,
cash,
cowan,
cycles,
gann,
geometry,
grain,
july,
june,
market,
ptv,
ricardo da costa,
soybean,
square of twelve
Monday, May 2, 2016
Soybeans - May 2016
There are two cycles that could impact market action during the month of May 2016. Statistically, after a March bottom the market will most likely rally for three or four months until June or July tops. With that in mind, the month of May will probably have an acceleration bottom leading up to the summer tops.
Monday, March 28, 2016
Update: Soybeans - March 2016
This blog post is an update for our March soybean analysis. This update includes a cycle projection expected for late March - early April.
Labels:
2016,
analysis,
bottom,
cash,
cowan,
cycles,
gann,
grain,
market,
ricardo da costa,
soybean,
trading,
update
Friday, March 11, 2016
Soybeans - March 2016
This post deals with our March 2016 soybeans roadmap. It mainly discusses the current bottom made on March 1st, including PTV[1] and cycle analysis.
Wednesday, March 2, 2016
How to "Square your Chart" on CycleTimer
In this blog post we explain a method how to "square your chart" and draw actual circles in price-time space using the CycleTimer software. This is important and useful when your work includes visual or graphical analysis.
Monday, February 29, 2016
Update: Soybeans - February 2016
We are including a short update for our soybean market analysis of the month of February.
The market has shown little activity during this month. We projected that Gann's 30yrs cycle was due to turn in February together with other less important cycles. Our analysis favors a market bottom during this time. This post includes the cycle projection for Gann's 30yrs and 20yrs cycles and a PTV[1] projection from 2012 that may have completed.
Labels:
2016,
analysis,
bottom,
cash,
cowan,
cycles,
february,
gann,
geometry,
grain,
market,
projections,
ptv,
rally,
ricardo da costa,
soybean,
square of twelve,
update
Wednesday, February 10, 2016
Soybeans - February 2016
This is our commentary for soybeans on the month of February 2016. As mentioned in previous posts, Gann's 30 years cycle is due to turn during this month. There are other minor cycles turning during the whole length of this month.
The 30 years cycle should be the main focus during this month. According to our 2016 soybean roadmap and seasonal trend, February is a good month for seasonal lows. One possibility is that a market low will align with Gann's 30 year cycle leading up to a June 2016 top.
Wednesday, January 20, 2016
Update: Soybeans - January 2016
As mentioned in our previous post, this update for the month of January focuses on Gann's 30yrs cycle.
There is a small harmonic of this cycle turning in late January-early February. However, a larger harmonic of this same cycle, which is slightly time-shifted, is due to turn between early to late February. The period of this larger harmonic averages 7.5 years and it has aligned with very significant turning points since 1986.
There is a small harmonic of this cycle turning in late January-early February. However, a larger harmonic of this same cycle, which is slightly time-shifted, is due to turn between early to late February. The period of this larger harmonic averages 7.5 years and it has aligned with very significant turning points since 1986.
Monday, January 4, 2016
Soybean Market Cycle Analysis and Roadmap for 2016
The soybean market is analyzed following Gann's and Brad Cowan's cycle theory. Very important cycles are projected to turn in the year 2016, particularly Gann's 84yrs cycle. The turn dates for these cycles are presented in this post together with a possible roadmap showing how the price action might develop during the year.
Monday, December 21, 2015
Soybeans Roadmap Recap for 2015
As the year's end approaches, we are reviewing our initial soybean cycle analysis and roadmap for 2015. We present here a recapitulation of the cycles presented at the beginning of the year and how they impacted prices, including Gann's 45yrs, 20yrs and 14yrs harmonics. Our 2015 roadmap is updated to compare our initial projection with actual market behavior.
Thursday, October 8, 2015
Update: Soybeans - October 2015
This short update takes a look at the cash
soybean major bear markets and compares them to the current bear market from
2012.
Friday, October 2, 2015
Soybeans - October 2015
This post is our October 2015 soybean market roadmap. It includes Gann's 20yrs cycle harmonic which turned in late September as well as Gann's 14yrs cycle harmonic due to turn in late October.
Tuesday, September 29, 2015
Update 2: Soybeans - September 2015
The soybean market has remained in a sideways motion since last August. Every attempt to definitely break above or below its resistance/support levels has been followed by a counter-trend motion.
Our 2015 soybeans roadmap discussed the possibility that the Gann's 20yrs cycle harmonic turning in late September could align with a market top. However, the current market behavior leads us to believe that perhaps it has aligned with a market bottom.
The current post discusses this possibility and a potential scenario for the upcoming months.
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