Soybeans - September 2017

 As expected, soybeans topped in July. This is in line with our initial roadmap. There's a Gann's 14yrs cycle turning in September. This cycle could align with a secondary top leading into the October bottom.

Soybeans - June 2017

 Our previous post discussed a harmonic of Gann's 14 years cycles bottoming on late May 2017. On May 31st, 2017 soybeans made a 2-day swing bottom and has started to rally.

 Both a cycle and PTV analysis indicate that this could be a bottom from which prices could rally until, probably, July 2017. A one month rally.

Soybeans and grain update

 We apologize for the lack of updates in the blog in the last month. There hasn't been too much time for market analyses and blog posting.

 Gann's 84yrs cycle was due to turn in August 2016, at least initially. This cycle is expected to be a significant bottom from were prices should increase, perhaps for several years.

 Our projections on grains haven't been so accurate in the recent past. In this blog we present an update on the soybean market, Gann's 84yrs cycle and a commentary on wheat and corn.

Update: Wheat - July 2016

 This is a quick update on the wheat post we published a couple of days ago. With updated data for cash wheat, this post shows how some PTVs completed on the early July 2016 bottom.

Update 2: Soybeans - June 2016

 Our previous post contained several VPP and PTV[1] projections for a June top in the soybean market. These were not as accurate as we would have liked, having an error of 20¢ in July soybean futures. However, it seems it is most likely that Gann's 20yrs cycle projected to turn in the first half of the month has aligned with a swing top.

 Other PTVs completed in both July and November soybean futures at the June 10th an 13th tops respectively. We are including them in this post. 

Update: Soybeans - June 2016

 In this update we are including a few Velocity Price Projections and PTV[1] analysis and projections for July soybean futures.

Soybeans - March 2016

 This post deals with our March 2016 soybeans roadmap. It mainly discusses the current bottom made on March 1st, including PTV[1] and cycle analysis.

Update: Soybeans - November 2015

 In this post, we are updating the expansion/contraction sequence found in January soybean futures.

Soybeans - November 2015

 This is our November 2015 roadmap for soybeans. It includes Gann's 45yrs cycle due to turn in the second half of the month as well as expansion/contraction sequences found in January futures contract.

Update 3: Soybeans - May 2015

The May and July contracts for soybeans futures broke the October 2014 bottom. This is in line with our initial thought that prices will continue to decline during this year, hopefully until a Oct-Nov 2015 bottom.

 Our May roadmap presented three cycle turn dates for the month. Gann's 14yrs cycle harmonic for early May which aligned with a market top. Also Gann's 20yrs cycle harmonic for May/15-25 and Gann's 30yrs cycle harmonic for late May, early June.

 This post addresses the current Gann's 20yrs cycle harmonic together with geometry and momentum calculations.

Soybeans Roadmap for 2015 II

 In our previous post we presented a soybean cycle analysis for the year 2015 including cycle turn dates for Gann's 45yrs, 20yrs and 14yrs cycles. In this post we complete the 2015 roadmap presenting a short PTV[1] analysis and a figure indicating a possible development of market action during 2015.

Update: Soybeans 2014 Fall Seasonal Low

 Cycle and seasonal analysis indicate the possibility of an October bottom. As previously discussed an harmonic of Gann's 30 years cycle is due to turn from late September through early October. This coincides with the typical October seasonal lows for soybeans.

 This post discusses the PTVs[1] found in the cash soybean market and their relation to the Square of Twelve. The PTVs recently completed in early October 2014 may be giving additional indication that a rally is due.

Update: Corn June 2014

 In a previous post we mentioned that the January bottom in corn could be the beginning of a major bull market. In our understanding, price-time geometry analysis shows that this market will have great opportunities in the buying side from now and the coming years.

 The December contract for corn is analyzed using PTVs[1]. It shows that a rally is due after the recent swing bottom. This bottom could be the end of this leg down and possibly the continuation of the current bull market.

Update 2: Soybeans June 2014

 A Gann's 14 years cycle harmonic was due to turn last week. Our previous post on the soybean market updated the chart initially presented in our soybean 2014 roadmap. As of the close on Friday June 13th, it seems that this cycle harmonic could have aligned with a bottom.

 In this post we will update our previous chart showing Gann's 14 years cycle. We also include a couple of velocity price projections together with some PTVs[1] that indicate the possibility that the market may have bottomed for a rally on June 12th, 2014.

Update: May 2014 for July Wheat

 The early 2014 forecast for wheat discussed Gann's 20 years cycle. As explained, it aligned with a major bottom in late January 2014, indicating the beginning of a bull market. A later update discussed Cowan's 5 1/2 years cycle due to turn in late March. This cycle aligned with a reaction top on March 20th, 2014.

 The wheat market topped on early May and has since declined. We consider this as a first reaction in a bull market. Ideally, the market will bottom and resume its uptrend.

 A harmonic of Gann's 20 years cycle and a subdivision of a 12 years cycle which resonates with Gann's 20 years cycle are due to turn in late May thru early June. A PTVs[1] projection is made for July wheat indicating a possible price target if it aligns with the above mentioned cycles.

Update 3: May 2014 for July Soybeans

 Geometry and cycle analysis of previous updates on the soybean market discussed the possibility of tops being made in April and/or May 2014. The last update talked about a harmonic of Gann's 20 years cycle due to turn in late May 2014.

 Even though the market broke above the April tops, there are still indications of a possible top being made on May 22nd. The geometry and price projections supporting this are discussed below.

 However, it is important to keep in mind that the corn and wheat market have declined below their 50% retracement since April/May, which has not been the case in the soybean market. It is our believe that all three markets are in a bull market and may resume their uptrend in the future.

Update: May 2014 for July Soybeans

 July beans made a top on April 17 at 1521c aligning with a harmonic of Gann's 14yrs cycle. It reacted for four days, not exceeding time or price of the previous reaction made in March. Cycle and geometry analysis confirmed this top.

 On April 24th, the market rallied. A small time cycle and its harmonics aligned with this rally. On April 28, this cycle aligned with an intraday low at 1490 3/4c. Prices increased reaching a double top at 1520 1/2c with April 17 top.

 The fact that the market didn't exceed in time or price the previous larger reaction and that this time cycle aligned with the bottom of the rally hinted the possibility that prices could continue to go up. However, the double top at 1521c, some PTVs[1] in the cash and futures market and momentum curve showed the possibility of a decline. These were contradictory indications on the market behavior. As of the moment of this writing July beans have decline more than 20c.

Update: April 2014 Vectorial Analysis for May and July Soybeans

A follow up on the soybean market vectorial analysis is presented. The soybean market made final bottom on November 2014. Following a reaction top on December, the market declined and made a secondary bottom on January 2014. Since then the market has rallied with strength.

 A previous update on market geometry warned about the first reaction which took place on March 07th. The uptrend was resumed after a couple of bottoms on March 12th and 24th. Right now market geometry once again indicates the possibility of a reaction. It is important to be prepared in case a correction takes place, tightening stop loss orders once again to lock in some profits.
 

Corn Market Geometry 2014 onwards

 The cash corn market is studied using price-time geometry theory presented by B. Cowan in his published works. Price-Time Vectors[1], introduced by B. Cowan, allow the analyst to unify into a single element the price-time action. The length and orientation of these PTVs define the spacing between points of force in the market. The relative spatial distribution of these points follows simple mathematical ratios and defines geometrical structures.

 Furthermore, financial markets develop within the limits of growth spirals. As more energy is inserted into the markets, each turn of the spiral is larger than the preceding one. This translates into larger price swings.

 Geometry analysis of the cash corn market predicts much more higher prices for the coming years, probably similar to those of the soybean market. The January 2014 bottom in corn may be the beginning of a major bull market.

Update: March 2014 Vectorial Analysis for May Soybeans

 A follow up on the soybean market analyses is presented. The month of January was mentioned as important in the 2014 soybean market roadmap. The market bottomed in the early part of the month, again on January 24th and finally on January 30th.

 The 9 years cycle presented in a previous update had a window of tolerance between January and February 2014. Based on the triangular wave pattern this cycle was due to come up as a market top, but considering recent market behavior it was expected to invert and show up as a market bottom. Considering its most recent turning points, we were expecting it to turn up in February, however it finally aligned with the January 30th 2014 bottom.

 The market has rallied with strength for over a month now. It is important to be prepared in case a correction takes place, tightening stop loss orders and locking in some profits.