As expected, soybeans topped in July. This is in line with our initial roadmap. There's a Gann's 14yrs cycle turning in September. This cycle could align with a secondary top leading into the October bottom.
Showing posts with label analysis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label analysis. Show all posts
Thursday, September 7, 2017
Tuesday, June 6, 2017
Soybeans - June 2017
Our previous post discussed a harmonic of Gann's 14 years cycles bottoming on late May 2017. On May 31st, 2017 soybeans made a 2-day swing bottom and has started to rally.
Both a cycle and PTV analysis indicate that this could be a bottom from which prices could rally until, probably, July 2017. A one month rally.
Labels:
2017,
analysis,
bottom,
cowan,
cycles,
cycletimer,
futures,
gann,
geometry,
grain,
july,
market,
ptv,
rally,
ricardo da costa,
soybean,
square of twelve,
square root of two,
swings,
trading
Wednesday, May 10, 2017
Soybeans - May 2017
This post discusses an important 14 years cycle harmonic due to turn in late May 2017. According to our studies, the market is currently in a bull market since March 2016. However, the market recently topped on January 2017 and since then the trend has been down. Our initial 2017 soybean roadmap rightly indicated a turning point in January, but we figured it would be a market bottom instead of a top.
Labels:
2017,
analysis,
bottom,
cowan,
cycles,
futures,
gann,
grain,
may,
november,
ricardo da costa,
soybean
Tuesday, February 7, 2017
Soybeans - February 2017
Our initial soybeans roadmap for 2017 indicated the expectation of a bottom in January from which prices would rally, probably until the summer months. Prices bottomed on early January and rallied until the later part of the month.
The current post shows harmonics of Gann's 14 years cycle and Cowan's 5.5 years cycle expected to turn during the latter part of February.
Tuesday, January 3, 2017
Soybean Market Cycle Analysis and Roadmap for 2017
Using Gann's and Brad Cowan's cycle theory we analyzed the soybean market for the year 2017. Significant cycles are expected to turn during this year. The turn dates for these cycles are presented in this post together with a roadmap showing the possible market action during the year.
Labels:
2017,
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cash,
cowan,
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gann,
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january,
july,
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ricardo da costa,
roadmap,
soybean,
top,
trading
Friday, December 30, 2016
Soybeans Roadmap Recap for 2016
We are reviewing our initial soybean cycle analysis and roadmap for 2016.
Our 2016 roadmap is updated and compared to
our initial projection with actual market behavior.
Friday, October 28, 2016
Update: Soybeans - October 2016
This post updates the chart presented in our October 2016 post for soybeans after the October bottom. It also contains a chart showing major PTVs[1] in the cash soybean market.
Wednesday, October 5, 2016
Soybeans - October 2016
This is our post for the month of October on soybeans. Both Gann's 14yrs and 30yrs cycle harmonics are due to turn between very late September and early October. There are a couple of PTVs[1] which have completed in the cash market as well.
Labels:
2016,
analysis,
bottom,
cash,
cowan,
cycles,
gann,
geometry,
grain,
market,
november,
ptv,
rally,
ricardo da costa,
soybean,
square of twelve
Friday, September 2, 2016
Soybeans and grain update
We apologize for the lack of updates in the blog in the last month. There hasn't been too much time for market analyses and blog posting.
Gann's 84yrs cycle was due to turn in August 2016, at least initially. This cycle is expected to be a significant bottom from were prices should increase, perhaps for several years.
Our projections on grains haven't been so accurate in the recent past. In this blog we present an update on the soybean market, Gann's 84yrs cycle and a commentary on wheat and corn.
Thursday, July 14, 2016
Update: Wheat - July 2016
This is a quick update on the wheat post we published a couple of days ago. With updated data for cash wheat, this post shows how some PTVs completed on the early July 2016 bottom.
Tuesday, July 12, 2016
Wheat - July 2016
Just as with soybeans and corn, Gann's 84yrs cycle is due to turn during 2016 for the wheat market. This cycle is expected as a cycle bottom. In the case of wheat, the turning of this cycle may come a bit earlier than in other markets.
This post discusses two cycles impacting prices for late June - early July 2016 in the wheat market as well as some PTV[1] analyses.
Labels:
2016,
analysis,
bottom,
cash,
cowan,
cycles,
december,
futures,
gann,
geometry,
grain,
july,
market,
ptv,
ricardo da costa,
square of twelve,
wheat
Tuesday, July 5, 2016
Soybeans - July 2016
We don't have any short-term or middle-term cycles projected for the month of July. However a couple of major cycles with wide windows of tolerance fall during this month, namely Gann's 84yrs cycle and 30yrs cycle.
According to our initial roadmap for the year 2016, we were expecting a top in the month of June, from which prices would decline into, probably, August.
A large harmonic of Gann's 30yrs cycle may turn either on July or August. A secondary top on July is not something we completely rule out, as this is a seasonal high prices month. But we would like to see instead a major bottom on August from which prices would continue on their way up.
Monday, June 20, 2016
Update 2: Soybeans - June 2016
Our previous post contained several VPP and PTV[1] projections for a June top in the soybean market. These were not as accurate as we would have liked, having an error of 20¢ in July soybean futures. However, it seems it is most likely that Gann's 20yrs cycle projected to turn in the first half of the month has aligned with a swing top.
Other PTVs completed in both July and November soybean futures at the June 10th an 13th tops respectively. We are including them in this post.
Tuesday, June 7, 2016
Update: Soybeans - June 2016
In this update we are including a few Velocity Price Projections and PTV[1] analysis and projections for July soybean futures.
Wednesday, June 1, 2016
Soybeans - June 2016
The month of May was a disappointment. Except for the big up day on May 10, most of the month remained in a sideways motion.
As presented in our 2016 soybean roadmap, there is a cycle due to turn in the first part of the month of June. According to seasonal behavior, after a March bottom prices will most likely rally up until June or July, aligning with the typical seasonal top months.
Labels:
2016,
analysis,
cash,
cowan,
cycles,
gann,
geometry,
grain,
july,
june,
market,
ptv,
ricardo da costa,
soybean,
square of twelve
Tuesday, May 24, 2016
Update: Soybeans - May 2016
Since March, soybean prices have been going up breaking all previous tops. This is a clear indication that the trend has changed. Up to this point, the market has been, more or less, following what we figured in our 2016 soybeans roadmap.
This post updates a chart from a previous post which showed PTVs[1] defining up and down trends in the recent past. It also contains a new chart showing several PTVs related to the recent May 10, 2016 swing top.
Labels:
2016,
analysis,
cowan,
cycles,
futures,
gann,
geometry,
grain,
july,
may,
ptv,
ricardo da costa,
soybean,
square of twelve,
update
Monday, May 2, 2016
Soybeans - May 2016
There are two cycles that could impact market action during the month of May 2016. Statistically, after a March bottom the market will most likely rally for three or four months until June or July tops. With that in mind, the month of May will probably have an acceleration bottom leading up to the summer tops.
Wednesday, April 27, 2016
Update: Soybeans - April 2016
This post focuses on PTV[1] analysis of July soybean futures. There are different PTVs since October 2014 which lengths are related to the first Square of Twelve. Since then, several important turning points have been defined by these PTVs.
Labels:
2016,
analysis,
april,
cowan,
futures,
gann,
geometry,
grain,
july,
market,
ptv,
ricardo da costa,
soybean,
square of twelve,
update
Wednesday, April 20, 2016
Soybeans - April 2016
Due to time restrictions on our side our April roadmap for Soybeans is been published late, instead of the first days of the month. This is our April report for the soybean market. It includes a couple of cycle harmonics which added up to the current uptrend.
Monday, March 28, 2016
Update: Soybeans - March 2016
This blog post is an update for our March soybean analysis. This update includes a cycle projection expected for late March - early April.
Labels:
2016,
analysis,
bottom,
cash,
cowan,
cycles,
gann,
grain,
market,
ricardo da costa,
soybean,
trading,
update
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