Soybeans - June 2017

 Our previous post discussed a harmonic of Gann's 14 years cycles bottoming on late May 2017. On May 31st, 2017 soybeans made a 2-day swing bottom and has started to rally.

 Both a cycle and PTV analysis indicate that this could be a bottom from which prices could rally until, probably, July 2017. A one month rally.

Soybean Market Cycle Analysis and Roadmap for 2017

 Using Gann's and Brad Cowan's cycle theory we analyzed the soybean market for the year 2017. Significant cycles are expected to turn during this year. The turn dates for these cycles are presented in this post together with a roadmap showing the possible market action during the year.

Update: Wheat - July 2016

 This is a quick update on the wheat post we published a couple of days ago. With updated data for cash wheat, this post shows how some PTVs completed on the early July 2016 bottom.

Wheat - July 2016

 Just as with soybeans and corn, Gann's 84yrs cycle is due to turn during 2016 for the wheat market. This cycle is expected as a cycle bottom. In the case of wheat, the turning of this cycle may come a bit earlier than in other markets.

 This post discusses two cycles impacting prices for late June - early July 2016 in the wheat market as well as some PTV[1] analyses.

Soybeans - July 2016

 We don't have any short-term or middle-term cycles projected for the month of July. However a couple of major cycles with wide windows of tolerance fall during this month, namely Gann's 84yrs cycle and 30yrs cycle.

 According to our initial roadmap for the year 2016, we were expecting a top in the month of June, from which prices would decline into, probably, August.

 A large harmonic of Gann's 30yrs cycle may turn either on July or August. A secondary top on July is not something we completely rule out, as this is a seasonal high prices month. But we would like to see instead a major bottom on August from which prices would continue on their way up.

Update 2: Soybeans - June 2016

 Our previous post contained several VPP and PTV[1] projections for a June top in the soybean market. These were not as accurate as we would have liked, having an error of 20¢ in July soybean futures. However, it seems it is most likely that Gann's 20yrs cycle projected to turn in the first half of the month has aligned with a swing top.

 Other PTVs completed in both July and November soybean futures at the June 10th an 13th tops respectively. We are including them in this post. 

Update: Soybeans - June 2016

 In this update we are including a few Velocity Price Projections and PTV[1] analysis and projections for July soybean futures.

Soybeans - June 2016

 The month of May was a disappointment. Except for the big up day on May 10, most of the month remained in a sideways motion.

 As presented in our 2016 soybean roadmap, there is a cycle due to turn in the first part of the month of June. According to seasonal behavior, after a March bottom prices will most likely rally up until June or July, aligning with the typical seasonal top months.

Update: Soybeans - May 2016

 Since March, soybean prices have been going up breaking all previous tops. This is a clear indication that the trend has changed. Up to this point, the market has been, more or less, following what we figured in our 2016 soybeans roadmap.

 This post updates a chart from a previous post which showed PTVs[1] defining up and down trends in the recent past. It also contains a new chart showing several PTVs related to the recent May 10, 2016 swing top.

Soybeans - May 2016

 There are two cycles that could impact market action during the month of May 2016. Statistically, after a March bottom the market will most likely rally for three or four months until June or July tops. With that in mind, the month of May will probably have an acceleration bottom leading up to the summer tops.

Update: Soybeans - April 2016

 This post focuses on PTV[1] analysis of July soybean futures. There are different PTVs since October 2014 which lengths are related to the first Square of Twelve. Since then, several important turning points have been defined by these PTVs.

Update 3: Soybeans - July 2015

This is our third and last update for the soybean market in the month of July. We are including new Velocity Price Projections which indicate the possibility that soybean prices could decline even further.

Update 2: Soybeans - July 2015

 This is a short update on the soybean market based on velocity price projections and momentum analysis.

Update: Soybeans - July 2015

 This post is an update for our July 2015 soybean report. The market rallied since May-June 2015 into a possible top in July. This update includes a cycle and geometry analysis together with the velocity price projections and momentum curves.

Soybeans - July 2015

 As has been our custom in the last few months we are presenting a short roadmap for the month of July 2015 for the soybean market.

 There is a harmonic of Gann's 20yrs cycle due to turn in early July as presented in our 2015 soybean roadmap. According to seasonal tendency, extreme high prices are typically expected in the month of July. These are the reasons why we anticipated a cycle top for the current month in the second part of our 2015 soybean roadmap.

Soybeans - June 2015

 This post contains the monthly roadmap for the month of June 2015. It presents a couple of cycles due to turn in the current month. Also, the post briefly discusses the seasonal behavior of the soybean market in relation to the current cycles turn dates.

Update 2: Soybeans - May 2015

This post continues our month of May updates for soybeans. We address the alignment of the early May cycle turn date with a market high.

Update: Soybeans - May 2015

 Following a short update on the current soybeans market situation. This post presents a couple of Velocity Price Projections and a 2-day swing chart.

Update: Mid-2014 Soybeans Cycle and PTV Analysis

 In our last update we talked about the possibility that soybeans could rally for the rest of the year going close to or above 1650¢ per bushel in November 2014 aligning with Gann's 45 years cycle harmonic.

 We also mentioned that even though we were expecting a top in May 2014 we underestimated it, thinking that the market would rally shortly after and continue with its uptrend. Instead the market had a great decline.

 The present post addresses the possibility that a rally could be under way based on cycle and PTV[1] analysis. An important harmonic of Gann's 14 years cycle was due to turn between July 22nd-26th. It coincided with the completion of PTVs related to the Square Of Twelve in both the cash and futures markets.

Update 2: Soybeans June 2014

 A Gann's 14 years cycle harmonic was due to turn last week. Our previous post on the soybean market updated the chart initially presented in our soybean 2014 roadmap. As of the close on Friday June 13th, it seems that this cycle harmonic could have aligned with a bottom.

 In this post we will update our previous chart showing Gann's 14 years cycle. We also include a couple of velocity price projections together with some PTVs[1] that indicate the possibility that the market may have bottomed for a rally on June 12th, 2014.