Update: Soybeans - June 2016

 In this update we are including a few Velocity Price Projections and PTV[1] analysis and projections for July soybean futures.

Soybeans - January 2016

This is our January 2016 roadmap analysis for soybean market. It presents a couple of Gann's cycle harmonics together with a simple PTV[1] analysis. Additionally, Velocity Price Projections and Momentum analysis are included.

Update: Soybeans - December 2015

 A Gann's 14yrs cycle harmonic is due to turn around December 17th to the 19th. This cycle was presented in our first December post.

 The soybean market reacted after making a swing top on Dec 06th at 911 1/2¢. Since then, March futures have declined more than 50¢ getting close to one of our Velocity Price Projections. Possibly, this cycle will align with a secondary bottom and resume the rally from late November.

Update 3: Soybeans - July 2015

This is our third and last update for the soybean market in the month of July. We are including new Velocity Price Projections which indicate the possibility that soybean prices could decline even further.

Update 2: Soybeans - July 2015

 This is a short update on the soybean market based on velocity price projections and momentum analysis.

Update: Soybeans - July 2015

 This post is an update for our July 2015 soybean report. The market rallied since May-June 2015 into a possible top in July. This update includes a cycle and geometry analysis together with the velocity price projections and momentum curves.

Update 3: Soybeans - May 2015

The May and July contracts for soybeans futures broke the October 2014 bottom. This is in line with our initial thought that prices will continue to decline during this year, hopefully until a Oct-Nov 2015 bottom.

 Our May roadmap presented three cycle turn dates for the month. Gann's 14yrs cycle harmonic for early May which aligned with a market top. Also Gann's 20yrs cycle harmonic for May/15-25 and Gann's 30yrs cycle harmonic for late May, early June.

 This post addresses the current Gann's 20yrs cycle harmonic together with geometry and momentum calculations.

Update: Soybeans - May 2015

 Following a short update on the current soybeans market situation. This post presents a couple of Velocity Price Projections and a 2-day swing chart.

Velocity Price Projections for May Soybeans

 In this post, we present several price projections using market velocity for soybean May futures. Additionally a small harmonic of Gann's 84 years cycle is presented which is due to turn in early March 2015.

Velocity Price Projections for March Soybeans

 Brad Cowan and W.D.Gann put across the idea that market velocity could be useful to project future price targets. In this short post we present several price projections using market velocity for March soybeans.

Update 3: Soybeans June 2014

 We wanted to post this update on Friday morning. However it was not possible. Even thought July beans declined beyond our initial projections, November beans met our price targets inside the window of time for Gann's 14 years cycle.

 This update will focus on the November beans contract including geometry and cycle analysis. It also shows velocity price projections and momentum indicators. This analysis indicates that a bottom may have been made on June 17, 2014.

Update 2: Soybeans June 2014

 A Gann's 14 years cycle harmonic was due to turn last week. Our previous post on the soybean market updated the chart initially presented in our soybean 2014 roadmap. As of the close on Friday June 13th, it seems that this cycle harmonic could have aligned with a bottom.

 In this post we will update our previous chart showing Gann's 14 years cycle. We also include a couple of velocity price projections together with some PTVs[1] that indicate the possibility that the market may have bottomed for a rally on June 12th, 2014.

Update 3: May 2014 for July Soybeans

 Geometry and cycle analysis of previous updates on the soybean market discussed the possibility of tops being made in April and/or May 2014. The last update talked about a harmonic of Gann's 20 years cycle due to turn in late May 2014.

 Even though the market broke above the April tops, there are still indications of a possible top being made on May 22nd. The geometry and price projections supporting this are discussed below.

 However, it is important to keep in mind that the corn and wheat market have declined below their 50% retracement since April/May, which has not been the case in the soybean market. It is our believe that all three markets are in a bull market and may resume their uptrend in the future.

May Oats in Position to Rally

 Since the 9 years cycle turned up in October 2013, oats have rallied with strength. On early March 2014 the market made its first important reaction. Market analysis based on momentum, velocity price projections and price retracements, shows that the market may have bottomed on March 26th to resume its uptrend.

Update 2: February 2014 Soybean Market

This update on the soybean market presents price targets projections for March soybeans and a commentary on seasonal behavior of the market. 
 

Velocity Price Projections

Figure 1 shows a daily price-time chart for March Soybeans and a market velocity indicator. There are two price targets projected using market velocity around 1372c and 1404c per bushel. Additionally, using market velocity February 19th, 20th, 26th and 28th are projected dates when a possible turning point could be expected.

Update: January 2014 Soybean Market Outlook

A soybean market cycle analysis and roadmap for 2014 was presented here. It was mentioned the possibility that the Nov 5th 2013 bottom was the beginning of an important bull market. Additionally, it was discussed that both Gann’s 20 and 14 years cycle harmonics had turning point dates for January 2014. An update on these cycles is presented together with an analysis explaining the possibility that the market bottomed on Friday Jan 24th.