Update 3: Soybeans - July 2015

This is our third and last update for the soybean market in the month of July. We are including new Velocity Price Projections which indicate the possibility that soybean prices could decline even further.

Update 2: Soybeans - July 2015

 This is a short update on the soybean market based on velocity price projections and momentum analysis.

Update: Soybeans - July 2015

 This post is an update for our July 2015 soybean report. The market rallied since May-June 2015 into a possible top in July. This update includes a cycle and geometry analysis together with the velocity price projections and momentum curves.

Soybeans - July 2015

 As has been our custom in the last few months we are presenting a short roadmap for the month of July 2015 for the soybean market.

 There is a harmonic of Gann's 20yrs cycle due to turn in early July as presented in our 2015 soybean roadmap. According to seasonal tendency, extreme high prices are typically expected in the month of July. These are the reasons why we anticipated a cycle top for the current month in the second part of our 2015 soybean roadmap.

Soybeans - June 2015

 This post contains the monthly roadmap for the month of June 2015. It presents a couple of cycles due to turn in the current month. Also, the post briefly discusses the seasonal behavior of the soybean market in relation to the current cycles turn dates.

Update 3: Soybeans - May 2015

The May and July contracts for soybeans futures broke the October 2014 bottom. This is in line with our initial thought that prices will continue to decline during this year, hopefully until a Oct-Nov 2015 bottom.

 Our May roadmap presented three cycle turn dates for the month. Gann's 14yrs cycle harmonic for early May which aligned with a market top. Also Gann's 20yrs cycle harmonic for May/15-25 and Gann's 30yrs cycle harmonic for late May, early June.

 This post addresses the current Gann's 20yrs cycle harmonic together with geometry and momentum calculations.

Update 2: Soybeans - May 2015

This post continues our month of May updates for soybeans. We address the alignment of the early May cycle turn date with a market high.

Update: Soybeans - May 2015

 Following a short update on the current soybeans market situation. This post presents a couple of Velocity Price Projections and a 2-day swing chart.

Soybeans - May 2015

 Just as we present our yearly roadmaps (2014, 2015 I & II), we thought it would be useful to have a "monthly roadmap" in which we would present major and minor cycles turn dates, geometry analysis and when possible, an actual roadmap of the monthly market behavior.

 This post presents the three most important cycle turn dates for the month of May 2015 in the soybean market. It also presents a short geometry analysis and discusses the possible behavior of the market during this month.

April 2015, Rally? - May Soybeans

 Soybeans made tops on November 2014. Since then, trading has been slow. These November 2014 tops aligned with several important Gann cycles and have not been broken up to this moment. The general trend has been down, with only small rallies.

 According to our 2015 soybean roadmap it is possible we may see a top in mid-year. This post addresses the possibility of a rally leading up to that top based on cycle, geometry and momentum analysis.

Quick Update on May Soybeans

 Soybeans topped on early March and declined almost 90¢ as indicated in our last post. We are presenting now a quick update on the Soybean market. A momentum calculation is included indicating the possibility of a rally.

 

Velocity Price Projections for May Soybeans

 In this post, we present several price projections using market velocity for soybean May futures. Additionally a small harmonic of Gann's 84 years cycle is presented which is due to turn in early March 2015.

Velocity Price Projections for March Soybeans

 Brad Cowan and W.D.Gann put across the idea that market velocity could be useful to project future price targets. In this short post we present several price projections using market velocity for March soybeans.

Soybeans Roadmap for 2015 II

 In our previous post we presented a soybean cycle analysis for the year 2015 including cycle turn dates for Gann's 45yrs, 20yrs and 14yrs cycles. In this post we complete the 2015 roadmap presenting a short PTV[1] analysis and a figure indicating a possible development of market action during 2015.

Soybean Market Cycle Analysis and Roadmap for 2015

 The cash soybean market is analyzed following Brad Cowan's cycle theory. Continuing with last's year cycle analysis and roadmap some projections are made for the year 2015. Several Gann's cycles are due to turn this year. The turn dates for these cycles are here presented.

Soybeans Trendless Market (Nov-2014 Jan-2015)

 After the much anticipated November-2014 cycles the soybean market has remained in a sideways motion unlike the corn and wheat market which have shown gains after the October and November cycles.

 Since late October thru all of November and December the soybean market has been trading in a range. March soybeans futures made a higher top on November 12th at 1089 3/4¢ and a lower bottom on December 3rd at 991¢. The market has been unable to break above-below this prices, showing no definite trend.

Update: November 2014 - January Beans

 Soybeans have been sideways since early November 2014. Nevertheless the market is in an interesting period. Our cycle analysis indicated three major cycles turning in November. These were Gann's 45yrs, 20yrs and 14yrs cycle.

 This post discusses the current situation in the soybean market focusing in cycles, swings and momentum indicator. So far it is not clear for us if these cycles have aligned with market tops or bottoms.

November 2014 - January Beans

 In our 2014 soybean roadmap we mentioned November 2014 as an important month regarding cycles. Three major cycles are due to turn during this month, namely Gann's 45 years, 20 years and 14 years cycle harmonics.

 The present post updates some of these cycles and discusses the possible behavior of soybeans for the recent future.

Update 3: Soybeans 2014 Fall Seasonal Low

 Soybeans rallied since early October 2014. On October 30th, January contract made a 2-day swing top and reacted. Our stop was touched on November 04th at 1008 1/4¢. As mentioned in past posts, there are several cycles turning in November 2014.

 This writing updates the stop loss calculation and when it was touched. Also gives a few windows of tolerance for Gann's 45yrs, 20yrs and 14yrs cycle harmonics turning in November 2014.
 

Update 2: Soybeans 2014 Fall Seasonal Low [updated]

 On October 06th, 2014 we wrote a post indicating the possibility that the soybean market could rally after aligning with Gann's 30 years cycle harmonic. On October 1st November beans bottomed at 904¢ and has rallied almost a whole dollar reaching today a high at 994 1/4¢.