Monday, February 29, 2016

Update: Soybeans - February 2016

 We are including a short update for our soybean market analysis of the month of February.
 
 The market has shown little activity during this month. We projected that Gann's 30yrs cycle was due to turn in February together with other less important cycles. Our analysis favors a market bottom during this time. This post includes the cycle projection for Gann's 30yrs and 20yrs cycles and a PTV[1] projection from 2012 that may have completed.

Wednesday, February 10, 2016

Soybeans - February 2016

 This is our commentary for soybeans on the month of February 2016. As mentioned in previous posts, Gann's 30 years cycle is due to turn during this month. There are other minor cycles turning during the whole length of this month.
 
 The 30 years cycle should be the main focus during this month. According to our 2016 soybean roadmap and seasonal trend, February is a good month for seasonal lows. One possibility is that a market low will align with Gann's 30 year cycle leading up to a June 2016 top.

Wednesday, January 20, 2016

Update: Soybeans - January 2016

 As mentioned in our previous post, this update for the month of January focuses on Gann's 30yrs cycle. 

 There is a small harmonic of this cycle turning in late January-early February. However, a larger harmonic of this same cycle, which is slightly time-shifted, is due to turn between early to late February. The period of this larger harmonic averages 7.5 years and it has aligned with very significant turning points since 1986.

Tuesday, January 12, 2016

Soybeans - January 2016

This is our January 2016 roadmap analysis for soybean market. It presents a couple of Gann's cycle harmonics together with a simple PTV[1] analysis. Additionally, Velocity Price Projections and Momentum analysis are included.

Monday, January 4, 2016

Soybean Market Cycle Analysis and Roadmap for 2016

 The soybean market is analyzed following Gann's and Brad Cowan's cycle theory. Very important cycles are projected to turn in the year 2016, particularly Gann's 84yrs cycle. The turn dates for these cycles are presented in this post together with a possible roadmap showing how the price action might develop during the year.

Monday, December 21, 2015

Soybeans Roadmap Recap for 2015

 As the year's end approaches, we are reviewing our initial soybean cycle analysis and roadmap for 2015. We present here a recapitulation of the cycles presented at the beginning of the year and how they impacted prices, including Gann's 45yrs, 20yrs and 14yrs harmonics. Our 2015 roadmap is updated to compare our initial projection with actual market behavior.

Thursday, December 17, 2015

Update: Soybeans - December 2015

 A Gann's 14yrs cycle harmonic is due to turn around December 17th to the 19th. This cycle was presented in our first December post.

 The soybean market reacted after making a swing top on Dec 06th at 911 1/2¢. Since then, March futures have declined more than 50¢ getting close to one of our Velocity Price Projections. Possibly, this cycle will align with a secondary bottom and resume the rally from late November.

Tuesday, December 1, 2015

Soybeans - December 2015

This is our December 2015 roadmap for the soybean market. It includes a cycle analysis and a weekly momentum chart which are indicating a possible rally and trend change.

Edit: We are adding a harmonic of Gann's 14yrs cycle to our cycle analysis. This harmonic is expected to turn in mid-December 2015. Even though it is not a very powerful cycle, this harmonic has aligned with some important turning points in the past and may impact prices during this month.

Wednesday, November 4, 2015

Soybeans - November 2015

 This is our November 2015 roadmap for soybeans. It includes Gann's 45yrs cycle due to turn in the second half of the month as well as expansion/contraction sequences found in January futures contract.

Friday, October 30, 2015

Update 2: Soybeans - October 2015

 This update compares the cycle turn dates of late October 2015 in corn, soybeans and wheat. All three markets had cycles turning on the second half of October. Corn and wheat seem to have bottomed, but soybeans is hesitating to rally at the moment.

Thursday, October 8, 2015

Update: Soybeans - October 2015

This short update takes a look at the cash soybean major bear markets and compares them to the current bear market from 2012.

Friday, October 2, 2015

Soybeans - October 2015

 This post is our October 2015 soybean market roadmap. It includes Gann's 20yrs cycle harmonic which turned in late September as well as Gann's 14yrs cycle harmonic due to turn in late October.

Tuesday, September 29, 2015

Update 2: Soybeans - September 2015

 The soybean market has remained in a sideways motion since last August. Every attempt to definitely break above or below its resistance/support levels has been followed by a counter-trend motion.

 Our 2015 soybeans roadmap discussed the possibility that the Gann's 20yrs cycle harmonic turning in late September could align with a market top. However, the current market behavior leads us to believe that perhaps it has aligned with a market bottom.

 The current post discusses this possibility and a potential scenario for the upcoming months.

Thursday, September 3, 2015

Soybeans - September 2015

 This is our September 2015 soybean market roadmap. It includes a Gann's 20yrs cycle harmonic due to turn in late September. Our understanding of the market leads us to believe this cycle could align with a market top.

Tuesday, August 11, 2015

Update: Soybeans - August 2015

 November soybeans made a swing bottom on August 03, 2015. Since then the market has rallied and broke the previous 2-day swing top at 957¢. Following we present a short update including a simple price projection for a possible reaction.

Tuesday, August 4, 2015

Thursday, July 30, 2015

Update 3: Soybeans - July 2015

This is our third and last update for the soybean market in the month of July. We are including new Velocity Price Projections which indicate the possibility that soybean prices could decline even further.

Friday, July 24, 2015