Monday, December 21, 2015

Soybeans Roadmap Recap for 2015

 As the year's end approaches, we are reviewing our initial soybean cycle analysis and roadmap for 2015. We present here a recapitulation of the cycles presented at the beginning of the year and how they impacted prices, including Gann's 45yrs, 20yrs and 14yrs harmonics. Our 2015 roadmap is updated to compare our initial projection with actual market behavior.

Thursday, December 17, 2015

Update: Soybeans - December 2015

 A Gann's 14yrs cycle harmonic is due to turn around December 17th to the 19th. This cycle was presented in our first December post.

 The soybean market reacted after making a swing top on Dec 06th at 911 1/2¢. Since then, March futures have declined more than 50¢ getting close to one of our Velocity Price Projections. Possibly, this cycle will align with a secondary bottom and resume the rally from late November.

Tuesday, December 1, 2015

Soybeans - December 2015

This is our December 2015 roadmap for the soybean market. It includes a cycle analysis and a weekly momentum chart which are indicating a possible rally and trend change.

Edit: We are adding a harmonic of Gann's 14yrs cycle to our cycle analysis. This harmonic is expected to turn in mid-December 2015. Even though it is not a very powerful cycle, this harmonic has aligned with some important turning points in the past and may impact prices during this month.

Wednesday, November 4, 2015

Soybeans - November 2015

 This is our November 2015 roadmap for soybeans. It includes Gann's 45yrs cycle due to turn in the second half of the month as well as expansion/contraction sequences found in January futures contract.

Friday, October 30, 2015

Update 2: Soybeans - October 2015

 This update compares the cycle turn dates of late October 2015 in corn, soybeans and wheat. All three markets had cycles turning on the second half of October. Corn and wheat seem to have bottomed, but soybeans is hesitating to rally at the moment.

Thursday, October 8, 2015

Update: Soybeans - October 2015

This short update takes a look at the cash soybean major bear markets and compares them to the current bear market from 2012.

Friday, October 2, 2015

Soybeans - October 2015

 This post is our October 2015 soybean market roadmap. It includes Gann's 20yrs cycle harmonic which turned in late September as well as Gann's 14yrs cycle harmonic due to turn in late October.

Tuesday, September 29, 2015

Update 2: Soybeans - September 2015

 The soybean market has remained in a sideways motion since last August. Every attempt to definitely break above or below its resistance/support levels has been followed by a counter-trend motion.

 Our 2015 soybeans roadmap discussed the possibility that the Gann's 20yrs cycle harmonic turning in late September could align with a market top. However, the current market behavior leads us to believe that perhaps it has aligned with a market bottom.

 The current post discusses this possibility and a potential scenario for the upcoming months.

Thursday, September 3, 2015

Soybeans - September 2015

 This is our September 2015 soybean market roadmap. It includes a Gann's 20yrs cycle harmonic due to turn in late September. Our understanding of the market leads us to believe this cycle could align with a market top.

Tuesday, August 11, 2015

Update: Soybeans - August 2015

 November soybeans made a swing bottom on August 03, 2015. Since then the market has rallied and broke the previous 2-day swing top at 957¢. Following we present a short update including a simple price projection for a possible reaction.

Tuesday, August 4, 2015

Thursday, July 30, 2015

Update 3: Soybeans - July 2015

This is our third and last update for the soybean market in the month of July. We are including new Velocity Price Projections which indicate the possibility that soybean prices could decline even further.

Friday, July 24, 2015

Wednesday, July 15, 2015

Update: Soybeans - July 2015

 This post is an update for our July 2015 soybean report. The market rallied since May-June 2015 into a possible top in July. This update includes a cycle and geometry analysis together with the velocity price projections and momentum curves.

Wednesday, July 1, 2015

Soybeans - July 2015

 As has been our custom in the last few months we are presenting a short roadmap for the month of July 2015 for the soybean market.

 There is a harmonic of Gann's 20yrs cycle due to turn in early July as presented in our 2015 soybean roadmap. According to seasonal tendency, extreme high prices are typically expected in the month of July. These are the reasons why we anticipated a cycle top for the current month in the second part of our 2015 soybean roadmap.

Monday, June 1, 2015

Soybeans - June 2015

 This post contains the monthly roadmap for the month of June 2015. It presents a couple of cycles due to turn in the current month. Also, the post briefly discusses the seasonal behavior of the soybean market in relation to the current cycles turn dates.

Monday, May 25, 2015

Update 3: Soybeans - May 2015

The May and July contracts for soybeans futures broke the October 2014 bottom. This is in line with our initial thought that prices will continue to decline during this year, hopefully until a Oct-Nov 2015 bottom.

 Our May roadmap presented three cycle turn dates for the month. Gann's 14yrs cycle harmonic for early May which aligned with a market top. Also Gann's 20yrs cycle harmonic for May/15-25 and Gann's 30yrs cycle harmonic for late May, early June.

 This post addresses the current Gann's 20yrs cycle harmonic together with geometry and momentum calculations.

Tuesday, May 19, 2015

Update 2: Soybeans - May 2015

This post continues our month of May updates for soybeans. We address the alignment of the early May cycle turn date with a market high.